A Piano Flung By Trebuchet and the Economics of AI (with Patrick Ward, Aleck McCathie, and Kent Gustavson)
E8

A Piano Flung By Trebuchet and the Economics of AI (with Patrick Ward, Aleck McCathie, and Kent Gustavson)

Somewhere between space junk and the deep sea, a piano goes flying out of a trebuchet.

Our guest this week is Patrick Ward, founder of NanoGlobals and author of Source, one of those people who knows a little bit about everything. We start with trees. Google cleared hundreds of thousands of them in Finland for data centers, and a grove of American chestnuts in West Virginia, grown from trees that survived the blight, is caught in a fight over a planned data center. Kent reaches for the Lorax, where the Once-ler chops down the Truffula trees to make Thneeds.

Patrick, who is from Australia, would put data centers in the desert before the forest, and is wary of putting them in space. Ten years ago at George Washington he took a course on space and international affairs, where a lecturer from NASA predicted that private companies would fill the gap when governments cut back, and the class gamed out what happens when one company's space junk hits another's. The bottom of the ocean is no easier to build on, though a company has proposed tide-powered data centers off Maine and Alaska.

Patrick sees most of today's AI as machine learning with new branding, the way everything once called itself SaaS, and worries less about rogue agents than about the people running the companies. Anthropic, which makes Claude, now bans sustained abuse of its models, and he reads it as a company handing moderation back to the user. Apple didn't invent the smartphone, it perfected it, and he expects most of the first wave of AI companies to go the way of the early internet names.

Apollo's chief economist says AI has paid off for seven big tech companies and not at all for the other 493 in the S&P 500. Patrick thinks he's right about today and wrong about what comes next: companies are still using AI to do the old work a little faster and cheaper, and plenty of them still haven't finished moving to the cloud, the big shift of the early 2000s.

The second half starts with space junk falling out of the sky and a Russian satellite pulling up alongside another, which Kent calls space junior high. Patrick sees satellites becoming a battlefield, but also the reason huge parts of the global south are online for the first time, finding out that everyone is just trying to earn a crust. That's an Australian expression, and bread, he says, is what turned nomads into societies.

Kent sets one grain of rice against a hundred trucks full, and SpaceX went public at $1.77 trillion while Anthropic is reportedly aiming for $2 trillion. You have more in common with a millionaire, Patrick says, than a millionaire has with a billionaire. He borrows the decentralized organization from blockchain, which looks a lot like a cooperative, and says startups don't grow up so much as get told how to organize by whoever funds the next round.

We end on pain. Consumer sentiment is near the lowest the University of Michigan has recorded, and furniture that was once handed down now barely lasts a year. People pay to relieve pain, Patrick says, and AI lets anyone go after it.

Chapters:

  • (00:00) - Welcome, Patrick Ward
  • (01:01) - Trees cleared for data centers
  • (02:12) - The Lorax
  • (03:06) - Data centers in the desert and in space
  • (06:50) - The bottom of the ocean
  • (09:59) - Machine learning with a new name
  • (12:36) - Being cruel to Claude
  • (17:09) - Seven companies and the other 493
  • (23:15) - Space junk and space junior high
  • (30:12) - Earning a crust
  • (32:04) - A trillion bowls of rice
  • (35:57) - Borrowing from blockchain
  • (38:59) - The startup myth
  • (40:31) - Pain as an opportunity
  • (46:16) - A piano and a trebuchet

Referenced in this episode:

Finns Are Seething After Google Illegally Toppled 250,000 Trees for a Data Center - https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/10/finland-finns-angry-google-illegal-clear-cutting-trees-data-center/ 

The Chestnut Grove Caught in the Middle of A Years-Long Data Center Fight - https://www.404media.co/west-virginia-american-chestnut-trees-data-center/ 

The Next Front for Data Centers: Underwater - https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/next-front-data-centers-underwater 





AI giant Anthropic files for an IPO that could break records - https://www.npr.org/2026/10/26/nx-s1-6014772/anthropic-ai-ipo-could-break-records 





Man vs. Slop is a Podcasts That Matter production: https://podcaststhatmatter.org 

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Creators and Guests

Aleck McCathie
Host
Aleck McCathie
Worldbuilder. Artist. Wordsmith. Cultivator of Voices.
Kent Gustavson
Host
Kent Gustavson
Speaker on international stages about innovation and entrepreneurship.
Patrick Ward
Guest
Patrick Ward
Patrick Ward is a recognized expert on distributed company structures, remote hiring, and tech visas.